Field notes.
Guides and strategies for the hardest part of crypto: knowing when to sell.
Matt Wheeler · July 22, 2026Latest
You Wrote an Exit Plan. Here's Why You Won't Follow It (Unless You Commit)
Writing the exit plan was never the hard part. The hard part is the moment your target hits and a voice says 'it goes higher.' Here is why plans fail at the point of execution, what a commitment device is, and how Exit Commitments hold you to the ladder you wrote.
ReadMatt Wheeler · June 23, 2026
Crypto Summer Chop: Why a Boring Sideways Market Is the Best Time to Build Your Exit Plan
Three months after the April tariff crash, crypto has stopped moving. The range is narrow, volume is thin, and everyone is bored. That boredom is the trap. Here is why a quiet summer is the best time to build the exit plan you will need when the range finally breaks.
ReadMatt Wheeler · May 21, 2026
Crypto Recovery Signals: How to Tell a Real Comeback from a Dead Cat Bounce
Seven weeks after the April tariff crash, the bounces are starting. Some are real; most are not. Here are the on-chain, sentiment, and price-structure signals that separate a durable recovery from a bull trap, and how to plan re-entries that survive the next leg down.
ReadMatt Wheeler · April 14, 2026
Crypto Tax Day: Last-Minute Tax-Loss Harvesting and Why Exit Plans Save You Money
Tax day is tomorrow. After the April 2 tariff crash, millions of crypto holders are sitting on realized losses — or unrealized ones they could turn into a tax write-off. Here's the exit-planning playbook to cut your tax bill.
ReadMatt Wheeler · April 3, 2026
Trump Tariffs Crashed Crypto: What the Liberation Day Sell-Off Teaches About Exit Plans
Trump's April 2 'Liberation Day' tariffs triggered a $5 trillion global sell-off and pushed crypto's Fear & Greed Index to 9. Here's why macro shocks demand an exit plan — not panic selling.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 26, 2026
46 Days of Extreme Fear: Why Panic Sellers Lose More Than Diamond Hands
The Fear & Greed Index has been below 20 for 46 straight days — the longest streak since FTX. Retail is panic selling while institutions quietly accumulate. Here's why having an exit plan beats both panic and blind holding.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
Bitcoin Exit Strategy: When to Sell BTC for Maximum Profit
BTC has its own rhythm — halving cycles, dominance shifts, institutional flows. Learn the Bitcoin-specific signals that tell you when to scale out of your position for maximum profit.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
Altcoin Exit Strategy: How to Know When Your Altcoin Has Peaked
Most altcoins drop 80-90% from their cycle highs. Learn the warning signs — volume divergence, fading social attention, BTC dominance rotation — that tell you it's time to sell.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
Crypto Portfolio Rebalancing: A Simple Framework
Holding ten different tokens doesn't mean you're diversified. Learn time-based and threshold-based rebalancing strategies to manage concentration risk and lock in gains systematically.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
When to Sell Crypto: A Data-Driven Exit Strategy Guide
Most crypto holders have no plan for when to sell. This guide covers the specific signals — momentum shifts, volume divergence, sentiment extremes — that tell you it's time to take profit.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
How to Take Crypto Profits Without Regret
Selling all at once feels wrong. Holding forever feels worse. Learn the profit-taking strategies that professional traders use — DCA out, percentage-based exits, and time-based plans.
ReadMatt Wheeler · March 19, 2026
Crypto Exit Strategy: Why Most Holders Leave Money on the Table
85% of retail crypto holders have no exit plan. The result? They ride coins up, watch them crash, and end up with nothing. Here's how to think about exits at the portfolio level.
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